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Presidential Politics, 2016...

I don't really like Donald Trump. I don't like that he is the essence of arrogance, and he is ultimately a performer auditioning for the job of president.  He has become a populist candidate, as unconventional a politician as you can possibly create. Every week he unveils a new and more outrageous opinion to further adavnce his 'shock jock' image.  And so far it's working as his lead in the GOP polls has widened as he continues to distance himself from his competitors.

His strategy of sticking his finger in the eye of political correctness had touched a positive nerve in many Americans who are weary of the coddling of selected groups of people. And by the way I am ONE of those Americans who has grown tired of this new form of victimization identification. From the beginning of this blog in 2009 I have deplored, denigrated, and marginalized the concept of political correctness and that has not changed. In fact, it's intensified as more legions of 'protected', select groups have come under the banner of PC.

He has also exploited the weakness of a president to confront the real threat of Islamic terrorism to his advantage. Americans now cite the danger of terrorism in the homeland at the top of the list of their biggest concerns, even topping the lackluster economy and the number of Americans still lacking full-time jobs. Trump has led many voters to believe that he would be a far better Commander-in-Chief than any other candidate, and certainly a sharp contrast to Barack Obama. The latter is an undeniable point.

All of the above leads me to the central question to be asked. Is Donald Trump really an electable candidate in the general election when pitted against Hillary Clinton? Both of these people have enough political and personal baggage to fill a coast-to-coast Amtrak train.  If anything, the campaign would be the highest form of free entertainment.  But is that what America really needs at this point of no return?

After the re-election of Barack Obama in 2012, I published a blog I labeled my final one, and retreated into a political depression for a long time. I was in disbelief that Americans would bite on the bait of "the transformation of America" a second time. I was dead wrong, in a big way. President Obama had the magic of a Pied Piper, and a legion of celebrities and most media outlets beating his drum for another four years of transformative government. Voter turnouts in Democat precincts were beyond phenomenal, and his victory was viewed by him and his party as a continuance of a mandate for change.

I'm not going to wade through a litany of my opinions about this president. My disdain and disgust for his policy agenda has been well-documented for the last seven years and it would serve only to become boring and repetitious.

Hillary Clinton will be Barack Obama in a pants suit. Although her campaign strategy may be to distance herself from him on specific policy issues, the politcal template will be identical. She will govern the same way he does. The War on Women, Black Lives Matter, revision of the second amendment, unlimited immigration through lax border enforcement, the destruction the middle class, and an unrelenting conviction that climate change is our biggest threat to our national security. This is the mantra. Did I miss anything? Yes probably, but too numerous to further elaborate, Suffice it to say, and this is a quote form Mrs. Clinton..."Republicans are the enemy"!

Clinton will be hard to beat, regardless of the GOP candidate who emerges this summer. The Democrat political machine knows how to mobilize voters in a presidential election. If Trump and/or Ben Carson are scorned by their party, and by-passed over in the convention, one or both will run as third party candidates. When that occurs, Hillary's path to the White House will as easy as Dorothy following the yellow brick road...The ultimate power couple takes residence again!

The Republican party has little time left to figure this out. Having over a dozen candidates in competition is not a smart strategy as time winds down. This party has proven it cannot unify nearly as well as Democrats, who walk in lockstep on every single issue. This is a party that has been splintered and self-divided since the Reagan years. This is your last chance to be in control of the Executive branch of the government (and by the way, the most important one)...What will you do about it?

Straight Ahead,

johntheblogger

Comments

( 24 comments — Leave a comment )
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 12th, 2015 07:14 pm (UTC)
Trump
Help me out here, Who was the last Republican, scorned by his party, considered a total traitor to his class who was unabashedly pro American (even jingoistic) in everything he said and did? He was also, while wealthy in his own right scornful of business and businessmen who abused their positions and passed law after law reigning in their abuses. His initials are TR and he loved the word "Bully".

Trump touches the same nerve in the American people. He has no patience for fools nor did Teddy. He believes fully in our exceptionalism and the difference between Americans and Europeans. He also believes in our destiny. If you showed him the famous TR quote on "hyphenated Americans" he would embrace it and make it his own.

We are a patient and long suffering people. We are not like anyone else which is why we are violent, crass, profane and own guns up the kazoo. Our ancestors LEFT, get that, LEFT. They had the courage to walk away from the quagmire across the Atlantic that killed 80 to 100 million people in the 20th Century. They desire nothing more than to be left alone to enjoy life, raise their families and have an occasional beer. They have little interest in day to day politics and have often been accused of being asleep. But, as Yamamoto predicted and the Japanese and Germans found out, there is a sleeping giant in North America. Push them far enough and you will rue the day.

We have reached the point when Democracy means nothing. Majority DOES not rule. Minority "rights" trump (no pun) majority. Does not matter what plebiscite you have, what polls, what ballot initiatives you do. They are all subject to review. Foreigners who scoff at our laws and border have the same "rights" as native born. Jumping the Rio Grande confirms upon you "due process" though just how and when that happened seems a bit muddled. Sanctuary cities, like New York (nobody ever mentions New York) where it is illegal for Civil Servants to ask your status before they sign you up for the goodies (under penalty of being fired by the way)make a mockery of what it means to be "American".

Most recently, 200 plus girls attending a Public School have lost all rights to privacy because one boy is confused about his gender. Where are their rights? Who defends those? Precedent has now been set, all girls have lost that right from sea to shining sea. Separate third gender bathroom? Not good enough for the unelected oligarchs in the black robes. Time and time again, the people say, with 6,000 years of recorded human history behind them that marriage is between a man and woman yet, not five but one (1) judge in DC casts the deciding vote telling the people to shove it.

The government lies. We have been inundated with talking head after talking head Democrat and Republican telling us those Syrian refugees who will be coming in by the thousands all at the same time can be vetted, yet the FBI director says No. Anybody listening to him in DC? Not hardly! ISIS is under control, merely the JV. Tell Paris that. Tell San Berdoo that. tell the thousands upon thousands of Christians, Turkamen, Shia and Yazdis who have lost their heads that.

Trump has touched a nerve. Take him at his word. As cynical as I am, I will. He has done what Washington did and Cincinnatus, risen to the occasion in an attempt to save the Republic. We may fault him, for his language or his intemperance but he is merely what the 1960's created in the whole country. Don't expect JFK, FDR, TR in a world where every second word out of a teenager's mouth begins with F and ends in K.

SK Trynosky Sr.
johntheblogger
Dec. 12th, 2015 09:13 pm (UTC)
Re: Trump
Thanks Steve(Ken), for your comments. Somehow I knew you would waste no time weighing in with one of your epic manifestos. All opinions, viewpoints, and counterpoints are always welcome on this blog.
While Trump may be an updated hybrid version of Teddy Roosevelt, is he electable in 2016 given all the demographic changes in the electorate you referred to(minorities trumping majorities)?
If Trump does become the GOP candidate, he has a chance to defeat Hillary because he will leave no stone unturned to expose her walk-in closet full of skeletons. But if he runs third party, you are delusional if you think he wins. Just my opinion!
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 12th, 2015 10:11 pm (UTC)
Re: Trump
These are in fact strange times. The pendulum may well have swung as far as it will go in that direction. I've tried to catch the Trump speeches and town halls. Interesting. While I cringe at the Muslim comment, (too far and yet not far enough) the American people have had it. I've also watched him connect wit blacks and Hispanics.

When the establishment goes off on the Republicans losing the Hispanic vote it is laughable. I worked with and supervised several hundred legal Hispanic laborers over the past 20 years. I've used quite a few immigrant contractors. They HATE illegals!Illegals drive down their wages and steal their business.They are not stupid. To my knowledge, I have not seen a poll of legal immigrants on the subject. What I see are the illegals being interviewed and the Hispanic Politicians/community organizers/Civil Rights Organizations. All lie and all have a vested interest in more of the same. The Dems own Puerto Ricans (same reason they own majority of blacks, free stuff) but they do not own Colombians, Ecuadorians, Nicaraguans, Dominicans. Blacks are not that dumb either. They are going no where fast and another 11,000,000 low wage laborers are not really going to help them. Trump has created jobs and to my knowledge there is no ethnic, racial or religious test for employment in the Trump organization.

Third party would be tough but not impossible. Last campaign I really, really worked on was NY Senate in 1970. Jim Buckley (conservative) against Godell and Ottinger. They split lib vote right down the middle. Buckley took it with 40%. Regarding polling. If you believe the polls, Guilliani lost three times. The first time for real the other two times because the upper west Side, blacks, Blue collar whites and Hispanics would never admit they would vote for him. While I am not making a comparison though some would think it appropriate, look at Lincoln's numbers in 1860.

Regarding demographics. The Trynosky's arrived here 1905-10 in that huge wave from Eastern and Southern Europe. People think we are ethnically diverse now. How many languages you think were spoken in NY Schools in 1904 when Teddy ran?
johntheblogger
Dec. 12th, 2015 10:39 pm (UTC)
Re: Trump
Just explain to my readers and me how Obama won twice (flies in the face of your latest comments), and how to prevent the Clinton's from moving into America's House again!
Thanks you!
John
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 13th, 2015 01:53 am (UTC)
Re: Trump
Bush fatigue, and the one chance to finally put the racism devil to bed. Didn't quite work out as planned.

The pendulum had not quite yet swung to its extreme. Now it has. Again, an analogy from the past. Dinkins begat Guilliani. In New York City no less!

Now, if you want to get into some heavy thinking see how Bloomberg, by not being Guilliani (totally obnoxious (G) as opposed to mildly obnoxious and a technocrat (B)) managed to begat DiBlasio. It doesn't hurt that the new NYC young folk with money moved to NY because it was now safe and have no clue how it got that way or how bad it was. I like to astound people when I tell them that in '89-'90 when I managed a 100 unit Bronx building, 240 East 175th Street I had seven,(7) murders in and around the building (on my sidewalk) in one year!

All this might have been permanently settled had Reagan picked anyone but George Bush I as his VP in the second term. After standing the Republican establishment on its head by winning the nomination, he picked the consummate Republican insider to be his successor. Bad plan. Bush I as you may remember begat Clinton I.

Obama is a fluke, he ran against losers. McCain was and remains a joke. Romney, just never had the fire in the belly. Took the big O down for a nine count in the first debate then wussed out in 2 and 3 because he didn't want to be mean or perceived as mean or perceived as a racist. That IS the problem and if you are a white man, former moderate to liberal and of a certain age you understand EXACTLY what I am talking about.

Now I don't know about you but Trump would not have let that bother him. Any other mainstream Republican, from Bush III to Kaisich, to Graham to Pataki would be fodder for the charge that they were picking on that poor little ole' gal who can do the "who me" Scarlett O'Hara imitation so well when called upon to do so. She wiped out Rick Lazio that way.
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 13th, 2015 02:08 am (UTC)
Re: Trump
Another very important thing I forgot. Concentrating so much on Trump forgot Sanders. The other side of the same coin. Too bad he punked out on the E-mails, cost him.

Sort of feel like mis-quoting the James Earl Jones character in "Field of Dreams". "People are tired, they know something is wrong with their country they want back what they had when they were younger, more innocent".

Next 11 months is gonna be a whole lot of fun!
johntheblogger
Dec. 12th, 2015 08:41 pm (UTC)
via email from John Higgins
Jack
Another good one.
I am not a Trump supporter, but when you try and defend his right to voice his opinion people go nuts.
This are some strange times.

John
johntheblogger
Dec. 12th, 2015 09:20 pm (UTC)
Re: via email from John Higgins
John,
No doubt Trump has defied the odds at this point. If an idiot like Harry Reid is allowed first amendment rights then so should Trump or anyone except those who pose a national security threat to the homeland...that's when the rules change.
Thanks for your response.
Jack
johntheblogger
Dec. 12th, 2015 11:08 pm (UTC)
via email from Gerry Gryski
I think the GOP is more in disarray than it was under Reagan. Ask John Boehner. Democrats are more diverse but less divided.
johntheblogger
Dec. 12th, 2015 11:21 pm (UTC)
Re: via email from Gerry Gryski
Since you hold a Doctorate in Poly Sci, I will defer to your opinion on this. But I think you are agreeing with what was my exact point. Regardless, a fracture still needs to be repaired!
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 13th, 2015 01:59 am (UTC)
Re: via email from Gerry Gryski
But not in as much as it was under Goldwater. Democrats are in lockstep. If you actually want people who think, you have to go to the other side. I remember when the former Democratic Governor of PA, father of the current Senator was NOT allowed to address the D convention because he was pro life. That, is a party I want no part of.

Regarding Barry, as he himself said, no matter what he did, the country was NOT ready for a third president in 14 months.
(Anonymous)
Dec. 13th, 2015 02:49 am (UTC)
Trump Trumps
You appear to contradict yourself. The Donald is against all of what you have been saying that you're against for the last 7 years. Do you not like his delivery? Hell, without his brash egotism we have Romney or Mc-lame once again. It is going to take someone with the big ones to beat the democrats who have every check recipient 'pulling the lever'. But it goes far beyond that like those that will be the new breed getting something for free from Uncle Sam who never have like FREE COLLEGE! Now they get a guaranteed age 18+ vote.
All you dislike the Donald dislikes. He shouts it out to packed convention centers and outdoor arena's. And people are listening. The fact is he has went from appearing like a reality star to THE Star of the GOP! And this is getting under the skin of the mainstream media, Hillary and Bernie.
Trump & Cruz would be a winning ticket. We have no one else John. It's us or them. And them is more of the same we dislike only the time bomb will have to blow as this can't continue.
Maybe it's just our generation but the future depends on someone with the balls of Donald Trump, he's our best chance. (I can't believe I just wrote this!)
Steve Sponcia
johntheblogger
Dec. 13th, 2015 03:49 am (UTC)
Re: Trump Trumps
Steve, I do agree with much of what he says. I'm afraid of him alienating the party leaders so much they will select a more 'traditional' politician, and Trump goes third party and then we have Hillary (God help America!) Politics is a sleazy business. There's an old saying that goes. "They'll cut out your eyeballs and sell 'em for grapes" Regardless of party, these people (the political elite) are ruthless.
Let me make one thing clear...I would vote for any GOP candidate (not named Sarah Palin), who is running against Clinton!
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 13th, 2015 02:30 pm (UTC)
Re: Trump Trumps
Party leaders need to be alienated then tossed out on their asses. Bohner, and old Turkey neck are a disgrace. They have not only betrayed the Party but the country. Where and when have I heard, "well just give us the House or the Senate and we will do something?" That is exactly how you lose.

One thing you gotta say about Gingrich was that he delivered.
johntheblogger
Dec. 13th, 2015 02:44 pm (UTC)
Re: Trump Trumps
Ken, you and I have different objectives. Mine is no democrat in the WH in 2017, simple as that. I want a Republican. I have my preferences but I will not sit home on E-Day if I don't like the nominee. I'm guessing here, and I could be wrong, but you probably sat out 2008 and 2012 because you detested McCain and Romney for being moderates. Many voters did that(in swing states, not like NY), and look at the outcome. I'll close with this comment. We gotta get Dems out of the Oval Office, regardless of your personal best choice. I think I'm done here. If we ever meet, and I hope we do, perhaps you can explain where I am going wrong.
Thanks again for your time and effort.
John
Stephen K. Trynosky
Dec. 13th, 2015 10:59 pm (UTC)
Re: Trump Trumps
Nope, voted both times for the loser. Only time I deviated was Bush II second run. Voted for the Constitutional Party then.

As a republican I think Trump can win. I see Bush 3 as being Hillary. Just exactly what would he do different than her? Cruz and to a lesser extent Rubio (though I don't trust him, too connected) would be better than her Highness but I think Trump can take it. I thought Perot could have taken it in a three way if he really wanted it and not just to destroy Bush the elder for what he considered the POW betrayal. .

My introduction to politics was really the '65 mayoral race between Buckley, Beame and Lindsay. kept hearing all this, "Buckley will steal from Lindsay", "we need a Republican", "Race is too important to take a chance". OK so we got Lindsay. How'd that work out?
johntheblogger
Dec. 15th, 2015 02:45 am (UTC)
via email from Jim Dwyer
HI JOHN, I AGREE WITH YOU FROM WEARING A BASEBALL HAT THE CORRECT WAY, AND YOUR CONSERVATIVE VIEWS.I DISAGREE WITH YOUR CHOICE OF BASEBALL TEAMS... LETS GO METS. I AM HOPING RUBIO GETS THE NOMINATION.IF NOT CRUZ OR CHRISTIE, NOT DIPSTICK TRUMP.

JOAN AND I WANT TO WISH YOU AND THE SPONCIA CLAN A VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS AND A HAPPY NEW YEAR

JIM AND JOAN
johntheblogger
Dec. 15th, 2015 02:51 am (UTC)
Re: via email from Jim Dwyer
Thanks Jim. I would support any of the three candidates you suggest. Anybody but the former most travelled Secretary of State with no accomplishments to show for all those miles!
Merry Christmas to your family as well!
John
johntheblogger
Dec. 18th, 2015 05:41 pm (UTC)
via e-mail from Cindy Ray
Hi John
Once again, you have impressed me with your writing, especially when it comes to politics. I think this is your calling. You can articulate on paper exactly how many of us feel. Keep trying to get a newspaper to publish your perspective. You are so much better than most articles in the papers today!

Happy Holidays!
Cindy
johntheblogger
Dec. 18th, 2015 06:19 pm (UTC)
Re: via e-mail from Cindy Ray
Thanks Cindy.

I have overcome the political depression of the 2012 election outcome, but as my blog indicates, the status and failure of the GOP to unify to defeat HRC is very worrisome. The last eight years of this administration have been a disgrace, and it will continue under Clinton. Mobilization of voters is critical to even have a chance to defeat a woman who astonishingly, continues to be popular. Politicians named Clinton appear to be bullet-proof in the face of incompetent and scandalous job performance.

I understand political and ideological differences existing in our country, that's healthy for a democracy. But for the life of me, I cannot imagine why any American would support this woman for any government position, least of all, the U.S. presidency!

Merry Christmas,

John
Tyler Hoffer
Dec. 28th, 2015 02:33 am (UTC)
John:

I agree the Republicans are self-divided. Tea Party Republicans and establishment Republicans are adherents to virtually separate political ideologies. Voters on the far right are much less likely to compromise and vote for a centrist, as we saw when the Republican base failed to energize for Romney and McCain. It could be to the parties' strategic advantage to vote in someone like Cruz because moderate voters on the right would likely support him as the lesser of two evils in the general election.

I agree the PC culture can be absurd at times, especially as to the "Regressive Left"; on the other hand, a history of unjust social policies and social conditions, both de facto and de jure, have led certain groups to become ultra-sensitive. We do not live in a post-racial or post-prejudice society, as many people who dismiss political correctness sometimes assume without attempting to empathize (not suggesting you do this necessarily). The legitimacy of the outcry has to be determined on a case-by-case basis; to categorically dismiss PC culture is a logical mistake.

The destruction of the middle class should be blamed on the financial crisis which was set into motion by the bipartisan coalition that repealed Glass-Steagall, along with commercial and investment banks that undertook systemic risks permitted by the repeal and sub-prime lending policies; the Democrats have tried to rectify these mistakes through proven Keynesian policies with gradual success. We are still in a recovery; the Federal Reserve interest rate was only increased recently. Wage stagnation has also exacerbated this issue. Obama shouldn't be blamed for this as the fault is with his political predecessors and the private sector.

Sincerely,

Tyler Hoffer
johntheblogger
Dec. 28th, 2015 02:38 pm (UTC)
Tyler, thanks for taking time to respond. The liberal point of view rarely surfaces on this blog, but I know some liberals do read do.
Ref. PC, My viewpoint was clear in my book, "Voiceover" that when the political left demands cultural changes for arbitrary groups or causes, it destroys any credibility for the things that are offensive and need to be changed. One example is referring to the master bedroom suite now as the "owners'suite"...There are hundreds of these bizarre examples!
Barney Frank and Chris Dodd (both Dems)pushed an agenda that enabled people achieving the American dream of home ownership even when they were not credit-worthy, which led to the financial bubble bursting. I am not saying the Bush administration was not also responsible.
There is much to blame Obama for after seven years, but it can be summarized that he has been a divider, not a uniter as he promised. He created a bigger federal government apparatus, appointing czars with huge staffs, spending more taxpayer dollars and creating class warfare like no other president. I'm tired of Dems blaming W for all things gone wrong in seven years. Start taking responsibility. Trump is correct that the Iran nuke deal and the Beau Bergdoff prisoner exchange were shameful and feckless deals. We are a weaker nation - in perception and reality!
But thanks for your thoughts...Always welcome here.

John

Edited at 2015-12-28 08:17 pm (UTC)
johntheblogger
Dec. 29th, 2015 04:19 am (UTC)
Tyler,
Also, your suggestion that Cruz would draw in more Republicans from both wings as well as Independents who would vote for the lesser of two evils is an excellent point. I am searching for the most electable and most formidable opponent of Hillary, and I think Cruz may emerge as that person. From what I have read and heard, Clinton views Rubio as her biggest threat, but that may be Democrat propaganda.

John
Tyler Hoffer
Dec. 29th, 2015 01:52 pm (UTC)
John:

Thanks for the response and email. Live Journal did not notify me. I even find owners' suite offensive, as it marginalizes renters residing in such rooms; this designation clearly fails to consider their social plight of lacking ownership rights and should be revised before renters become emotionally distressed, haha just kidding. PC culture is mostly absurd, but certain aspects have a shred of truth; I think you're right it destroys credibility for legitimate complaints.

I think we may have to agree to disagree as to the causes of the financial crisis. As I stated sub-prime mortgage policies were catalysts for the crisis. The narrative you’re advocating is essentially the Republican Party approved explanation that removes Republicans from being as culpable. Congressmen and presidents on both sides are to blame e.g. Graham Leach Bliely, CRA, and the Frank Dodd bill you mentioned (I forget the name of that act.). All our political leaders involved in these laws are to blame, as well as the private sector actions that lacked commercial ethics.

The complaint that Obama is a divider is probably true. I generally don’t feel that way about him, but I understand people become upset when he make statements that are controversial that oppose their viewpoint. Whoever is president in 2016 will likely continue this trend of being a divider because our country is politically polarized. As to your point about the government growing, I'd like to research before I comment; the growth of administrative agencies, etc, has been happening for some time so I think Obama may have only continued this trend.
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